Why this score Race ratings published by the University of Virginia Center for Politics; baseline is provisional until its 2026 calls are graded against certified results.
As of this point, we are thinking the Democrats have the inside track to a Senate majority, albeit narrowly at 51 or 52 seats. But these races are all close, and we want to take in all of the final information before pushing the remaining Toss-ups.
Kyle Kondik and Miles Coleman, as quoted by The Hill on 27 October; the Crystal Ball’s own page refused our reader. A relayed final call is graded only if its own page or a second report confirms it.
Despite a new Republican gerrymander, we are skeptical that Republicans will actually max out their potential four-seat gain in Florida.
Written by managing editor Kyle Kondik as the firm moved Florida’s redrawn 25th District to Leans Democratic, as quoted by the Sun Sentinel. Settled by Florida’s certified results.